Tuesday, May 14, 2019

Vox Populi Issue 281

                                                            VOX POPULI
                                                                        by
                                                                  S Kamat 
                                                                        as
                                                                Aam Admi
                                           Issue: 281                      Date: 13.05.2019
                    Visit: skamat.blogspot.com or aamadmivoices.blogspot.com
 
Contents:       

1. Do We Need Modi To Lead Us Again?
2. Conspiracy Theories Originating At The Level Of The Supreme Court 
3. His Master's Voice
4. Security Is Politicised
5. Model Code Of Conduct To Cover Financial and Other Enforcement Agencies

                                     Do We Need Modi To Lead Us Again?

Under Narendra Modi for the last 5 years India's image among its citizens and on the world stage has fallen down from an erudite, responsible, cultured, sympathetic, secular  and progressive nation. We are decidedly lo-brow today besotted with confusion, controversies, confrontations that seem decidedly unnecessary  

Modi's anathema to family and dynasty as indicated in most of his statements stems from probably the fact that he has no family. The fact that he has been separated from his wife since his marriage clearly makes him unable to perceive and understand family values. Lately to add to the claim of a 56 ins. chest the BJP has been saying that Modi is a 'mard' like no other. In Indian society where 'mard' is associated with masculinity there are two facets to it, one of physical strength which one grants that Modi maybe has but the other aspect of the ability to procreate is something that we have not seen from him. So like Modi's most claims the 'mard' label is also half true. His visits to his mother are cultivated to add more to the Modi persona and timed to maximise political gain to show that he still has family. The lack of family has led to unbalance in his life which reflects in his policies that tend to be unstable. The over-effusiveness while meeting foreign leaders with some cringing away from the Modi hugs while maintaining a haughty reserve with Indian fellow politicians and leaders including his own party - the BJP, shows an anxiousness to be accepted by foreigners while wanting to keep a distance from countrymen. 

In his utterances which tend to be outrageous and outlandish one clearly sees the lack of education. This is more so reflected during election times when the edge of vindictiness creeps into his comments. These are unnecessary and do not fit into the characteristics of a leader particular as senior as the Prime Minister. Modi in his enthusiasm to appeal to the uneducated and uninformed voter gets carried away and makes bombastic statements which verge very little on the truth. One is sure in these Modi himself knows that what he is saying is not true but at the same time he knows that his audience has little knowledge of the truth and he takes advantage of it, revelling in the cheap thrills it brings to him. In the same style he thrives in challenging the system, to see how far he can go without being caught out. This is seen in most of his statements that have been reported to the Election Commission on the violation of the Model Code of Conduct. The problem is that Modi in the campaign mode more often than not forgets that he is the Prime Minister of India and says whatever comes to mind which again more often than not devalues the image of the Prime Minister, his office, his party and himself. 

The other thing that we have seen with Narendra Modi is that he likes to hear what he believes and if there is anything not matching with that, he tends to come down on it with a heavy hand. Thus among international ratings India lately went up a few notches in the Ease of Doing Business but in the Happiness and Press Freedom indices, India was rated very lowly. So while Modi's government publicised the Ease of Doing Business achievement, they were ominously silent on the slippages or low rankings in the other two indices. There is also another tendency to discount international ratings or figures relating to India, mostly when they do not find favour with the present government, by saying that the ratings or figures are not true. And what do foreigners know about India, since we obviously know better! That is the reason why today India's economic indices are such a mess. Why talk of transparency, we have become as opaque as China in reporting of the country's economy. We are fast coming to the situation like in China where any economic figure is given and that's it. No question entertained, no answers given. Then with Modi there is this tendency to hide uncomfortable facts or events like the employment figures recently or the jiggling of the GDP figures. A compulsiveness to show only that is complimentary to the government. 

Economic measures under Modi as we have seen are characterised by limited thinking and implementation programs are defined by two steps forward, three steps backwards. Nett result a mess all around. These have been the hallmarks of the demonetisation exercise, the cashless program, the GST putting through,the health plan which has very limited takers among private hospitals since rates are not remunerative showing sloppy preparatory work for the world's largest health program! Demonetisation failed all around but brought down real estate prices even though there were still no buyers and the sector is still recovering from the debacle. But that is what Modi was touting recently. This was akin to taking an elephant by its tail to wag its head.  It was touted that demonetisation would bring more tax payers into the tax net but current year e-filings have shown a shortfall of more than half a million in Mumbai alone. As for cashless operation, the amount of cash in the economy has gone back close to the pre-demonetisation levels signifying that in India cash is king. Again in disaster situations like it was found during Cyclone Fani when it hit Orissa recently cash was desperately needed by people to buy emergency needs since with no power and wireless connectivity ATM's and PoS' were down and which will be limping to normalcy only in a months time. With Modi becoming PM people were banking on the replication of the much touted Gujarat economic model across India but sadly 5 years hence economic performance has become the Achilles heel of the Modi government. 

With the economy in disarray Modi has little to talk about the 'achhe din' he had promised and that is why the dialogue during the elections has been artfully diverted to nationalism and personality issues. These latter issues stir up emotions and easily divert the mind of the electorate which is what the BJP strategy has been. 

With Modi there has been this noticeable tendency of fitting in yes-men and cronies in major institutions be it the RBI, Election Commission and also in the government bureaucracy making sure that instructions are carried through with the least obstruction. Sadly this leads to a paralysis in the diversity of views and leads to a situation of a horse running with blinders. This is not good for a country like India with its range of complexity and may lead to a situation of some sectors and communities getting preference over others. 

Do we need a person like Modi with his erratic ways to lead us again? The answer to that will be given on May 23 but the alternative to Modi is a barrenness and the possibility of a terribly fractured mandate and more uncertainty as we go into the future. 
So essentially the choice is between the devil and the deep sea.

              Conspiracy Theories Originating At The Level Of The Supreme Court 

Two Supreme Court judges have lately raised the bogey of judgments being marginally modified in text for advantage to the entities involved be they individuals or corporate entities. We who have worked in corporate India know of the deteriorating quality of administrative support to recent times. Therefore the incidents mentioned by the judge in the cases of Ambani, Amrapali and combining the hearings on the Rahul Gandhi case and the Rafael case are where the judges themselves have slipped up and shown lack of due diligence. This can also be attributed to the Registrar of the SC who should be pulled up for these errors which benefit the litigants except in the last case. If judges bring up such cases of 'unseen hands' then it is a insult to the competence of the SC and shows an erosion of their ability to handle such matters. Conspiracy theories should not be originated at the level of the Supreme Court since that will lay the precedent for the country to follow which is a dangerous thing.

                                                      His Master's Voice

We are steadily seeing the His Master's Voice culture developing in our incumbent BJP government. Toe the official line seems to be the diktat to everyone and defend it at all costs. We had seen this in the case of Rajeev Kumar, Vice Chairman of Niti Aayog, a respected home grown economist who was an avid critic of Modi's financial policies particularly demonetisation up until he took up his official assignment and once in the chair started to sing hosannas in praise of Modi's policies including that of demonetisation. The same kind of thing is happening with Krishnamurthy Subramanian, the new Chief Economic Advisor (CEA). Again a professional with good credentials is succumbing to the ploys of government and like a canary singing their tunes once he has assumed office. He had said lately that the crimping of the GDP figures in the last two quarters is indicative and reflective of the fact that alls well with the system for computation of the GDP which was under pressure for manipulation to output rosy figures. This is a simplistic argument and the CEA is well advised to look closely into the matter since the rot is dark and deep.

                                              Security Is Politicised

On the one hand the PM claims the nation is secure under the BJP but it is the BJP who are seeking and being given security exposing the lie to the PM's claim. Lately the NSA Doval's son has been given Z+ security. Why? It is not clear. The son is learnt to be heading a private foundation. If there is a threat to their person, should not the foundation arrange for the security and pay for it? Again some of the BJP candidates for the Lok Sabha elections and the BJP party functionaries in West Bengal have been provided security. As a level playing field should not the other other party candidates and functionaries be provided similar protection. Or is this security provision also a political ploy to show that the BJP is under threat in West Bengal?

       Model Code Of Conduct To Cover Financial and Other Enforcement Agencies

From the time that the Lok Sabha elections were announced or a little before that the financial and other enforcement agencies, the triumvirate of the IT, ED and the CBI have been raiding one or the other political party opposed to the incumbent government. The last was Mayawati being named by the CBI in the sugar mills scam just about a fortnight ago. Earlier it was the DMK, the Congress splinter party in Andhra  Pradesh and also Akhilesh Yadav of the Samajwadi party in UP for the sand mining scam.  Should these investigating agencies not be brought under MCC - Model Code Of Conduct since otherwise as we have seen now the incumbent government uses them to their advantage by launching raids or naming people from the Opposition parties in one or the other scam to unsettle them in their election campaigns. It is best that this be done and the Election Commission be advised to amend the MCC before the next elections. 
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Thursday, May 9, 2019

Vox Populi Issue 280

Tuesday, April 30, 2019

Vox Populi Issue 279

Vox Populi Issue 278

Tuesday, April 16, 2019

Vox Populi Issue 277

                                                            VOX POPULI
                                                                        by
                                                                  S Kamat 
                                                                        as
                                                                Aam Admi
                                           Issue: 277                      Date: 15.04.2019
                    Visit: skamat.blogspot.com or aamadmivoices.blogspot.com
 
Contents:       
1. Nirmala Sitharaman's Immaturities On The Rafael Deal 
2. Deliberate & Orchestrated Raids By  Financial Enforcement 
    Agencies To Cow Down Opposition
3. Modi's Campaign Style In Present Lok Sabha Elections 
                                 
                       Nirmala Sitharaman's Immaturities On The Rafael Deal 

Nirmala Sitharaman as Defence Minister needs to brush up on government procedural matters and diplomatic protocol. This comment is being made in the context of the latest news from France as published by Le Monde, their leading newspaper, that Anil Ambani's Co., Reliance Flag had been given a substantial concession on tax running into millions of Euros, months after the Rafael deal was signed. That Nirmala Sitharaman voluntarily issued a statement that this had nothing to do with the Rafael deal made her sound like wanting to clarify the matter before any question about it was raised, making us feel that was there really a link? Like they say there is no smoke without a fire and then saying there is no smoke, no smoke when you can actually see it makes one ask - Where is the fire? The other thing it also seemed as she was the spokesperson for Anil Ambani, clarifying on his behalf where actually it was Ambani who should have come out and said that there is no connection between the tax refund and the Rafael deal, which he did but later. As for the truth of the matter only the prime players can tell like the then President of France, Narendra Modi and Anil Ambani but one must say that France as a country thrives on controversy and in international deals things like this can happen and the tax refund may have been part of the package given Ambani along with the Rafael offset deal. Coming back to Nirmala Sitharaman and her somewhat blaise  comments, just after the Supreme Court recently junked the AG's argument that the 'stolen' Rafael documents could not be accepted by the Court, she had said that Rahul Gandhi without knowing the full story is going to town with bits and pieces of the Rafael deal. What choice does the poor fellow have since those who have the full story will not come out with it, that is why he has to make do with the bits and pieces hoping one day that he will have the whole. It is time therefore that Nirmala Sitharaman puts out a White Paper on the Rafael deal. 

                   Deliberate & Orchestrated Raids By  Financial Enforcement Agencies 
                                                 To Cow Down Opposition

Arun Jaitley's claim that the raids by the IT, DRI & ED on mostly the Opposition parties and in States that are not run by BJP governments are based on inputs received and actual data need to be taken with a pinch of salt. If you look at the statistics of raids since 2014 almost all the raids conducted by the above named financial agencies have been against those inimical to the BJP. The present raids and those in the past show a clear agenda by the incumbent BJP government to intimidate or one can say even terrorise those that are opposed to its policies and programs. In the context of the present raids it is a known fact that in India cash is used during elections as an incentive to buy votes. So it does not need a large amount of intelligence or exceptional competence to raid the functionaries of political parties and seize large amounts of cash. If the financial agencies had raided the BJP party functionaries they would have found similar amounts of unaccounted cash. In fact there have been reports that in Andhra Pradesh a large amount of cash was recovered from a BJP leader and in Itanagar in Arunachal a Pradesh one of the cars in the PM's convoy moving to a political rally was found with cash in excess of Rs. 1 crore. Thus there seems to be a deliberate plan to use government machinery to serve the political ends of the BJP in the run up to the upcoming Lok Sabha elections. At the same time the incumbent BJP government seems to be hesitant and chary to use the same enforcement machinery against its crony industrialists like the Ambani brothers. Apart from the quid pro quo of Anil Ambani getting not only the Rafael offset contract but also the tax refund on his Reliance Flag Co. deal that was hanging fire for years and which was cleared months after Narendra Modi signed the Rafael jet deal, we have the Dutch Co. involved in supplying equipment and material to a major gas pipeline Co. in India being hauled up in the Dutch courts for having laundered money in excess of US $ 1 Billion by overinvoicing and then channelising this money to a Singapore family owned Co. that is linked to the Indian Co. The media has attributed this to the Reliance Group of Cos. run by Mukesh Ambani, though the Group itself has denied any links with the Dutch case. This is a clear case where a large amount of money is involved for our enforcement agencies to ask the Dutch police or through government to government channels to get details of the Indian Co. so that this amount can be chased and brought back into the country. If this is done then at least some part of the promise that Narendra Modi made in 2014 to bring back black money from abroad can be achieved. Otherwise what has happened is that instead of black money coming back to India, we have had those with black money leaving the country at regular intervals like Vijay Mallya, Choksi, Nirav Modi and others so that they can enjoy their ill-gotten wealth abroad. Even in the manner that these named people have left the country there are pointers to large scale corruption being involved within the PMO, finance ministry officials, CBI, DRI & ED. Thus for all of Narendra Modi's claim of being a chowkidar his role even in that role has been at most patchy with the blackguards running circles around him and fooling him completely. 

                        Modi's Campaign Style In Present Lok Sabha Elections 

Narendra Modi comes across as a personality who thrives on controversy, is cheeky, chafes at restrictions and wants to push the boundaries. He has also a cockiness about him making him want to see how far he can go without being questioned or pulled up. Representative of these traits were the ASAT announcement, Modi biopic and NAMO TV  which are all clear pointers to skirt the boundaries of democratic norms and thus seek undue advantage in the upcoming elections.

Such behaviour is unacceptable in a leader at the level of leading a nation like that of a Prime Minister. The cutting corners syndrome by a leader encourages the people down the line to also do the same in their own way and manner which may end up in taking the law into their own hands. If the people exceed the boundaries such leaders are unable to pull them up. In the context of Modi we have seen this happening when the intolerance debate commenced soon after he assumed office then the lynching cases emerged linked to cow slaughter and beef eating. The long drawn out silence, reminiscent of his silence during the Gujarat riots,  not only encouraged the perpetrators but prompted the leaders in the BJP hierarchy make conflicting statements getting the party deeper into the morass of controversy. Even now on the beef eating issue we have a case in Assam where an elderly Muslim was assaulted and forcefully fed pork. This latter aspect of feeding pork is a new  dimension to the brutality being inflicted on simple folk going about their livelihood.

Again an orchestration is apparent in trying to take undue advantage in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections like in the planned release of the Modi biopic and the launch of NAMO TV along with coordinated raids by the IT, ED & other financial law enforcement on non-NDA parties and in States ruled by Opposition parties. This is apparent in Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, Andhra Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh. Just prior to elections if the raids are conducted then the authorities are bound to find something since the targeted entities are equal to sitting ducks. The same applies to the Agusta Westland case where the leaks about naming Ahmed Patel and the Gandhi family seem to be timely and the ED & DRI are playing the dumb ones by asking for a report on how the chargesheet was leaked to the press after maybe themselves putting it out. Michel, the Italian in custody in the Agusta Westland case has in the meanwhile said that he has not named anybody as being connected to him or as beneficiaries in India of the helicopter largesse.

Thus if you put all this together you will see we are no different from any country in Africa or that in Central Asia who use any and every means to tomtom their own views and publicise themselves during elections while going after their competitors or adversaries again with every means at their disposal to terrorise the opposition into submission or at the least unbalance them and disrupt their campaigns for the elections. 
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